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Substitution Betting

Mert Feyzioglu

Updated:

Offering hidden value for astute bettors, substitution betting markets are a top pick for seasoned punters. They allow you to leverage insights about injured players, team dynamics, and manager decisions to place potentially successful bets. Keep reading to learn how you can stay ahead of the substitutes betting game and discover a substitutes betting strategy that works for you.

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Table of Contents

    Substitution Betting Explained

    A substitution is when one player takes to the field, replacing another who no longer participates in the match. It is also an opportunity for bettors to showcase their knowledge and bet on several substitution betting markets.

    Particularly popular in football betting, there are multiple substitution scenarios punters can wager on. These include betting on the first player to be substituted, the number of substitutions during a football match, and the time of the first substitution. Below, we explain how these markets work.

    Soccer benches and arrow pointing up and down between two figures labeled Soccer benches and arrow pointing up and down between two figures labeled

    Substitutes Betting Markets

    When you join the best online bookmakers, you can choose from a variety of substitutes betting markets. Most of these will be available as pre-match bets, but many sportsbooks offer them as in-play betting options too. Additionally, bettors can place both single and accumulator wagers. Lastly, many of these substitution betting markets can be combined as bet builders.

    First Player to Be Substituted

    Top sports betting sites offer a market where bettors can wager on which player will be substituted first. Since this is quite hard to predict, as the first substitutions often involve replacing injured players, expect to get high odds for this market.

    Player to Be Substituted, Anytime

    A pretty straightforward bet that pays when you accurately predict whether a player will be substituted during a game. Because this includes the entire match, it is much easier to get right than the First Player to Be Substituted market. However, the odds will be lower.

    Total Substitutions Over/Under

    Another easy-to-understand bet type, the Total Substitutions Over/Under market allows bettors to predict whether the cumulative number of substitutions during a match will be lower or higher than the number set by the bookmaker (e.g. Over/Under 5.5 substitutions, Over/Under 6.5 substitutions, etc.)

    Impact Sub Markets

    When bookmakers refer to impact substitution markets, they tell you that regular prop wagers won't be impacted by an early substitution of a player you chose. For instance, if you bet on goalscorer bets, such as the first goalscorer market or place last goalscorer or anytime goalscorer wagers, you will have active bets even when the player you picked gets substituted. In this case, your bet transfers to the replacement. For example, if you backed Mbappe to score first for France, but he is subbed off for Griezmann, your bet moves to Griezmann.

    How to Bet on Substitutes

    Betting on substitutes is no different than betting on any other market, be that a correct score wager or a half-time/full-time bet. Nevertheless, a step-by-step guide can help you place your first substitutes bet much faster. Here's what you need to do.

    • Estimated Time Needed: 05:00
    • Tools Needed: PC or Mobile Phone
    • Supplies Needed: Account
    Choose a Reputable Bookmaker Step 1

    Choose a Reputable Bookmaker

    Not all bookmakers have a wide selection of substitution markets, so it is paramount that you join a bookie that has been tried and tested for this bet type in particular. Start by browsing the sportsbooks we have reviewed, as we have verified the presence of multiple substitution betting options.

    Open and Fund Your Betting Account Step 2

    Open and Fund Your Betting Account

    Next, go through the registration process, which usually takes barely a minute or two, and fund your account using some of the deposit options available. If the sports betting site has a welcome bonus, consider claiming it, as you can use bonus funds or free bet credits on most substitution markets.

    Choose a Football Match Step 3

    Choose a Football Match

    Now, find the competition you want to bet on and select your match. Top competitions like the English Premier League and La Liga are great options, as they allow you to bet on a diverse range of substitutes markets.

    Place Your Substitutes Wager Step 4

    Place Your Substitutes Wager

    As soon as you have selected a football match, find the substitutes options you want to wager on. Choose the bet you think has the best chances of winning and add the selected markets and bets to your bet slip. Lastly, enter your stake and confirm the wager.

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    Strategies and Tips for Substitution Betting

    Predicting the number of players that will come off the bench, as well as when and who leaves and enters the pitch can be quite fun. However, betting on substitutes is even more entertaining if you get right the outcome and collect some winnings. Consider the betting strategies and tips below, as they might help you do exactly that.

    Analyse the Tendencies of Different Football Managers

    Understanding and predicting the moves of football managers is crucial when betting on substitutes. Some managers introduce fresh legs early on in the match for tactical reasons, while others have super subs they keep on the bench until late in the game to be the decisive scorers of late goals and take home the three points.

    Bet on Leagues with Readily Available Stats and Information

    Competitions such as the English Premier League, Serie A, La Liga, and Ligue 1 offer a treasure trove of statistical data on substitutions. That information can help you place more educated bets and improve your chances of winning.

    Make the Most of Free Bet Credits and Bonus Funds

    Bonus funds and free bets are ideal if you want to mitigate the risk of placing sports bets. Since some substitution markets, such as First Player to Be Substituted can be quite risky, utilising a free bet or other rewarding betting offers rather than your own funds might be a smart move.

    Conclusion

    All in all, betting on substitutes is a great way to showcase your football expertise and capitalise on a market that may offer more opportunities than more popular bet types. However, to ensure you benefit from your substitution betting strategy and selections, join betting sites with extensive betting options, competitive odds, and enticing bonuses. Reading our reviews can help you locate these top bookies instantly.

    Frequently Asked Questions

    What Happens If the Selected Player You Wagered On is Substituted?

    It depends on the bookmaker you join. Some sportsbooks will count your bet as a losing one. However, other bookmakers have a rule where the bet you made is transferred to the substitute.

    Can You Bet on Substitutions in Football?

    Yes, you can. Football is the most popular sport for betting on substitutes, offering a wide range of markets, such as the number of substitutes, who will get substituted first, whether a player will be substituted due to an injury, etc.

    Can You Use Free Bets for Substitutes Betting?

    Most of the time, yes. Bookmakers will always inform you how to use your free bet credits to place a qualifying bet. So, it is paramount that you read the terms and conditions of the bonus before using the free bet.

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